With all of the houses on the market these days that are either "bank owned" (REO's - Real Estate Owned) listings or "Short Sales", no wonder there is so much confusion! Below is a little bit of information on Short Sales. Next I will post information on Bank Owned properties... stay tuned!
A short sale is when a mortgage lender agrees to allow a home owner’s property to be sold for less than it’s actual market value. The lender will discount a mortgage balance to give the home owner an opportunity sell the property and turn over the proceeds to fully satisfy an outstanding loan balance. In this instance, the lender has complete control whether to approve or disapprove the sale. Most often, the lender will approve a short sale if the home owner owes more than the current market value, also called being “upside down.” Another reason for a short sale is to avoid foreclosure. Avoiding foreclosure can be a wise decision for the lender if the home owner has encountered a serious financial hardship or more importantly, if a short sale will result in a smaller financial loss than through the foreclosure process. Also, a short sale is a better option for the home owner for a number of reasons. First, even though a short sale does show up on a consumer credit report, it is far better than a foreclosure. A foreclosure creates a long-lasting back mark on your credit report and will drop a home owner’s credit score approximately 300 points. Also, the process is somewhat faster and less expensive than a foreclosure creating a superior choice if the market has softened. While a home owner may think a short sale is an easy way out of an “upside down” property investment, lenders will not even consider a short sale until a notice of default has been issued and a valid reason has been presented to the lender. Typically, the lender will go over the home owner’s situation very thoroughly before approving a short sale. A loss mitigation department wills asses the situation and do data analysis before approving the sale. Most often there is a hefty amount of negotiating before a sale is final to ensure the lender is fully satisfied.
This Week In Turlock Real Estate
4/15
4/8
4/1
3/25
Active Listings (Turlock)
418
419
417
Pending Listings (Turlock)
174
160
153
156
Total
592
579
571
573
Mortgage Rates
30 Year
5.68%
5.73%
5.65%
5.71%
15 Year
5/1 ARM
5.28%
5.40%
5.75%
Year to Date Home Sales (Turlock)
2008
146
135
115
90
2007
149
138
128
119
% Increase
-2.0%
-2.2%
-10.2%
-24.4%
Median Sales Prices
2006-07 (6 months YTD)
$ 253,750
$ 255,000
$ 260,000
$ 268,000
2005-06 (6 months YTD)
$ 330,000
-23.1%
-22.7%
-21.2%
-18.8%
News That You Can Use
4/15/08:
Economic News:
o The 4-week moving average was 378,250, an increase of 2,500 from the previous week's revised average of 375,750.
· Crude oil for May delivery gained $1.62, or 1.5%, to settle at $111.76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
o The U.S. consumes about one-quarter of the world's oil production.
o Worries about the U.S. economy have been weighing on energy prices.
o This year, the FBI says it expects 60,000 Suspicious Activity Reports related to mortgage fraud, up from 47,000 in 2007 and just 7,000 in 2003.
April 8, 2008
3/18
403
556
6.06%
6.03%
76
108
-29.6%
$ 269,000
-18.5%
4/8/08:
Prices are 55 cents higher than a year ago.
Lower mortgage rates and weakening home prices fuel affordability.
Higher loan limitations will help stimulate the market and try to bring in more buyers in high-cost costal markets.
Congress and the Bush administration have approved temporary increases in the conforming loan and FHA loan limits to $729,750 in high-cost markets, the limits will expire at the end of the year.
3/11
3/4
413
141
132
558
545
6.15%
6.00%
5.78%
5.00%
66
56
92
79
-28.3%
-29.1%
$ 270,000
-18.2%
3/25/08:
· Highlights of C.A.R.’s resale housing figures for February 2008:
o C.A.R.’s Unsold Inventory Index for existing, single-family detached homes in February 2008 was 14.3 months, compared with 8.2 months for the same period a year ago. The index indicates the number of months needed to deplete the supply of homes on the market at the current sales rate.
o The median number of days it took to sell a single-family home was 68.6 days in February 2008, compared with 66.1 for the same period a year ago.
2/26
424
122
546
6.25%
5.13%
46
-30.3%
$ 275,000
-16.7%
3/18/08:
o The 4-week moving average was 358,500.
o Diesel prices rose to a new record above $4 a gallon.
2/19
438
104
542
37
58
-36.2%
3/11/08:
o Many subprime loans have stopped resetting to higher rates due to lower interest rates in global lending markets.
o Nationally, prime fixed-rate loans are still 65 % of all mortgages. Also, about 35 % of homeowners have completely paid off their mortgages.
o First-quarter 2008 numbers, due in June, could show improvement, reflecting moves by lenders to work out alternatives to foreclosures.
Housing Market Indicators
State of CA Reporting Current Last Year M-to-M Y-to-Y
Period Period Period Ago % Change % Change
Existing Home Jan. 2008 313,580 297,970 446,820 5.2% -29.8%
Sales (SAAR)
Median Home Price Jan. 2008 $430,370 $476,380 $551,220 -9.7% -21.9%
Unsold Inventory Jan. 2008 16.8 14.2 7.6 18.3% 121.1%
Index (months)
Median Time on Jan. 2008 71.6 66.6 68.7 7.5% 4.2%
Market (days)
First Time Buyer
Housing Affordability 2007 Q4 33% 24% 25% 9.0% 8.0%
30yr. FRM Jan. 2008 5.76% 6.10% 6.22% -0.34% -0.46%
*SOURCE: Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp.
March 4, 2008
Activity UP … Mortgage rates Down!
2/12
455
91
5.80%
4.88%
30
51
-41.2%
3/04/08:
o Rose to 10% in December, compared to the estimate of 7.7% a year ago.
o Farm jobs to the biggest loss during the month, falling from 13,100 total jobs to 12,400, a loss of 700.
o Manufacturing industry saw an increase of 1,100 jobs over the year, including a 700-job jump from November to December alone.
o Educational and health services gained 800 more jobs over a year’s time from December 2006 to last December.
o The dollar has been weighed down by concerns about the U.S. economy and the Federal Reserve's interest rate-cutting campaign.
o Lower interest rates tend to weaken the dollar, which fell Monday to a new low of $1.5275 against the euro.
Sales and Pending Sales Pick up …
This Week In Turlock Real Estate 2-26-08
2/5
444
81
525
4.75%
22
44
-50.0%
2/26/08:
o At 54 %, the High Desert region was the most affordable in the state,
o followed by the Sacramento region at 53 %.
o Monterey was the least affordable region in the state at 20 %,
o followed by the Santa Barbara region at 21 %.
C.A.R.’s First-time Buyer Housing Affordability Index
Q4 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2006
United States 65 62 62
California 33 24 25San Francisco 20 15 19San Mateo 19 17 20Merced 51 48 41Stanislaus NA NA 37
2/12/08:
New Tax Laws
o Only homeowners with adjusted gross incomes below $100,000 are eligible for a full deduction (it phases out between $100,000 and $110,000), and only mortgages for primary residences originated after 2006 are eligible. A PMI trade association estimates this tax break will result in an average $350 annual savings for homeowners eligible for the deduction.
1/29
1/22
448
68
59
516
503
5.63%
5.43%
17
14
32
24
-46.9%
-41.7%
$ 282,000
$ 284,500
$ 335,000
-14.5%
-15.1%
2/05/08:
o The 4-week moving average was 325,750, an increase of 10,250 from the previous week's revised average of 315,500.
o At the pump, gas prices fell 0.2 cent overnight to a national average of $2.977 a gallon.
Existing Home Dec. 2007 301,040 287,600 452,060 4.7% -33.4%
Median Home Price Dec. 2007 $475,460 $489,570 $569,350 -2.9% -16.5%
Unsold Inventory Dec. 2007 14.5 15.4 5.9 -5.8% 145.8%
Median Time on Dec. 2007 67.2 63.0 72.1 6.7% -6.8%
Housing Affordability 2007 Q3 24% 24% 24% 0.0% 0.0%
30yr. FRM Dec. 2007 6.10% 6.21% 6.14% -0.11% -0.04%
1/15
436
63
499
8
16
$ 285,000
-14.9%
1/29/08:
This Week In Turlock Real Estate 1/29 1/22 1/15 1/8 Active Listings (Turlock) 448 444 436 424 Pending Listings (Turlock) 68 59 63 60 Total 516 503 499 484 Mortgage Rates 30 Year 5.63% 5.28% 5.75% 15 Year 5.43%
1/8
60
484